BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Garwin GMG

Class: 8 Class Rank: 59 Conference: 8-5 Record: (1-13-0) Overall: (13-77-0) Overall Strength =   31.55

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Away    L    28.32  20  62    A  29 ( 54- 44-  0) Earlham                -3.62    -38.38                      
  2 08/26/2011 Home    L     0.20   0  60    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -31.74    -28.26                      
  3 09/02/2011 Away    L    31.53   6  21    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           -0.40    -14.60                      
  4 09/09/2011 Home    L    36.57   7  40    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman       4.64    -37.64                      
  5 09/16/2011 Home    L    34.12  14  22    8  48 ( 34- 61-  0) Rockford                2.19    -10.19                      
  6 09/23/2011 Away    L    13.61   7  49    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler   -18.33    -23.67                      
  7 09/30/2011 Home    L    55.51  13  18    A  39 ( 42- 48-  0) Wapello                23.58    -28.58                      
  8 10/07/2011 Away    L *  36.04   6  14    8  50 ( 41- 56-  0) Colo-NESCO              4.10    -12.10                      
  9 10/14/2011 Home    L    63.73  12  38    8   3 (112- 10-  0) Don Bosco              31.80 *  -57.80                      
 10 10/21/2011 Away    L    43.94   7  42    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center          12.01    -47.01                      
 11 08/17/2012 Home    L    21.36  21  39   ZZ  49 (  2- 16-  0) Burnside Southeast W  -10.57     -7.43                      
 12 08/24/2012 Away    W    41.94  27  24    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska          10.01     -7.01                      
 13 08/31/2012 Away    L    35.20  14  49    8  16 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR            3.26    -38.26                      
 14 09/07/2012 Home    L    31.20   7  36    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       -0.74    -28.26                      
 15 09/14/2012 Away    L    41.94   6  43    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center          10.01    -47.01                      
 16 09/21/2012 Home    L    29.79  20  55    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           -2.15    -32.85                      
 17 10/05/2012 Away    L *  13.15   0  44    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -18.78    -25.22                      
 18 10/12/2012 Home    L    11.99  17  48    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -19.95    -11.05                      
 19 10/19/2012 Home    L    35.03   7  55   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R    3.10    -51.10                      
 20 08/23/2013 Away    W    61.45  45  28   ZZ  48 (  2-  7-  0) Burnside Southeast W   29.52    -12.52  ND                  
 21 08/30/2013 Home    W    41.40  20  14    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska           9.47     -3.47  ND                  
 22 09/06/2013 Home    L    25.65   7  48    8  16 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR           -6.28    -34.72  ND                  
 23 09/13/2013 Away    W    77.74  27  13    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       45.80    -31.80                      
 24 09/20/2013 Home    L    38.40  10  47    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center           6.47    -43.47                      
 25 09/27/2013 Away    L    60.33  14  22    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           28.40    -36.40                      
 26 10/11/2013 Home    W *  78.61  37  12    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    46.67    -21.67                      
 27 10/18/2013 Away    L    11.53  13  48    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -20.40    -14.60                      
 28 10/25/2013 Away    L    47.58   9  48   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R   15.64    -54.64                      
 29 08/30/2014 Home    L    14.99  14  42    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -16.95    -11.05  was 08/29 now 08/30 
 30 09/05/2014 Away    L    40.74   6  29    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama        8.80    -31.80                      
 31 09/12/2014 Away    L    30.76   6  45    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma              -1.18    -37.82                      
 32 09/19/2014 Home    L *  33.61   6  26    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley     1.67    -21.67                      
 33 09/26/2014 Away    L *  40.00  12  54    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM            8.07    -50.07                      
 34 10/03/2014 Away    L    -1.06   0  40    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska         -32.99     -7.01                      
 35 10/10/2014 Home    L    20.26   0  48    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully       -11.68    -36.32                      
 36 10/17/2014 Home    L    18.79   0  46    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -13.15    -32.85                      
 37 10/24/2014 Away    L     2.01   0  49   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo          -29.93    -19.07                      
 38 08/29/2015 Away    L    33.53   0  13    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            1.60    -14.60  was 08/28 now 08/29 AND  ND
 39 09/04/2015 Home    W    66.20  22  16    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       34.26    -28.26  ND                  
 40 09/11/2015 Home    L     9.21   0  57    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -22.72    -34.28                      
 41 09/18/2015 Away    L *  27.15   0  30    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    -4.78    -25.22                      
 42 09/25/2015 Home    L *  -2.54   0  81    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -34.48    -46.52                      
 43 10/02/2015 Home    L    14.40  20  41    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska         -17.53     -3.47                      
 44 10/09/2015 Away    L    -0.20   0  72    A  25 ( 61- 39-  0) Lynnville-Sully       -32.14    -39.86                      
 45 10/16/2015 Away    L     4.33   6  70    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -27.60    -36.40                      
 46 10/23/2015 Home    L   -17.53   0  65   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo          -49.47    -15.53                      
 47 08/26/2016 Away    W    52.53  12   6    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW           20.60    -14.60  ND                  
 48 09/02/2016 Home    W    60.07  20  12    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    28.13    -20.13  ND                  
 49 09/09/2016 Home    L *  31.46   0  47    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           -0.48    -46.52                      
 50 09/16/2016 Away    L    31.58   0  55   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R   -0.36    -54.64                      
 51 09/23/2016 Home    L    31.46   0  43   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                 -0.48    -42.52                      
 52 09/30/2016 Away    L    38.33   6  36    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine            6.40    -36.40                      
 53 10/07/2016 Home    W    65.47  58  40   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo           33.53    -15.53                      
 54 10/14/2016 Away    L    56.74   0   7    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       24.80    -31.80                      
 55 10/21/2016 Home    W    59.34  34   0   ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview   27.40      6.60                      
 56 08/25/2017 Home    L    10.99   0  32    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -20.95    -11.05  ND                  
 57 09/01/2017 Away    L    27.61   6  34    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    -4.33    -23.67  ND                  
 58 09/08/2017 Away    L *  21.00   7  68    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM          -10.93    -50.07                      
 59 09/15/2017 Home    L    37.03   0  46   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R    5.10    -51.10                      
 60 09/22/2017 Away    L    23.00   0  55   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                 -8.94    -46.06                      
 61 09/29/2017 Home    L    21.79   8  51    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -10.15    -32.85                      
 62 10/06/2017 Away    L     4.01   0  47   1A  48 ( 34- 59-  0) Colfax-Mingo          -27.93    -19.07                      
 63 10/13/2017 Home    L    29.20   6  37    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       -2.74    -28.26                      
 64 10/20/2017 Away    L    20.88  22  30   ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview  -11.05      3.05                      
 65 08/24/2018 Home    L    13.34  24  36   ZZ  58 ( 19- 45-  0) Des Moines Grandview  -18.60      6.60  ND                  
 66 08/31/2018 Away    W    77.04  32   0    A  59 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction      45.10    -13.10  ND                  
 67 09/07/2018 Away    L    43.00   0  35   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                 11.06    -46.06                      
 68 09/14/2018 Home    L    44.67   0  39    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley          12.73    -51.73                      
 69 09/21/2018 Home    L    37.40   0  38    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center           5.47    -43.47                      
 70 09/28/2018 Away    L     0.33   0  63    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -31.60    -31.40                      
 71 10/04/2018 Home    L    11.20   0  49    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama      -20.74    -28.26  was 10/05 now 10/04 
 72 10/12/2018 Home    L    37.99  14  19    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            6.05    -11.05                      
 73 10/19/2018 Away    W    59.66   2   0    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     27.73    -25.73  Forfeit ND          
 74 08/23/2019 Away    L    12.77   8  46    8  41 ( 33- 58-  0) Martensdale-St Marys  -19.17    -18.83  ND                  
 75 09/06/2019 Home    L    33.49  12  20    A  59 ( 18- 73-  0) Columbus Junction       1.56     -9.56  ND                  
 76 09/13/2019 Home    L    36.46   0  38   1A  24 ( 68- 36-  0) Hudson                  4.52    -42.52                      
 77 09/20/2019 Away    L    37.21   0  50    A   7 ( 78- 29-  0) Wapsie Valley           5.28    -55.28                      
 78 09/27/2019 Away    L    23.94   0  55    A  15 ( 62- 39-  0) Grundy Center          -7.99    -47.01                      
 79 10/04/2019 Home    L    -0.21   0  60    A  43 ( 40- 53-  0) East Buchanan         -32.15    -27.85                      
 80 10/11/2019 Away    L    62.74   0   1    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       30.80    -31.80  pre-game forfeit    
 81 10/18/2019 Away    L    39.53   0   7    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            7.60    -14.60                      
 82 10/25/2019 Home    W    60.12  26  20    A  49 ( 28- 65-  0) Arlington Starmont     28.18    -22.18  ND                  
 83 08/28/2020 Away    L *  35.21  26  27    8  56 ( 13- 25-  0) Collins-Maxwell         3.27     -4.27                      
 84 09/04/2020 Away    L *   0.10  50  74    8  65 ( 31- 62-  0) Tama Meskwaki         -31.84      7.84                      
 85 09/12/2020 Home    L *  30.77  12  42    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV             -1.16    -28.84  was 09/11 now 09/12 
 86 09/18/2020 Away    L *  40.00   0  42    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM            8.07    -50.07                      
 87 09/25/2020 Away    L    28.39  14  52    8  21 ( 63- 35-  0) Lone Tree              -3.54    -34.46  ND                  
 88 10/02/2020 Home    L *   7.07  20  60    8  43 ( 20- 17-  0) Baxter                -24.87    -15.13                      
 89 10/09/2020 Away    L    48.58  16  54   ZZ  19 ( 92- 23-  0) Reinbeck Gladbrook-R   16.64    -54.64                      
 90 10/16/2020 Away    L    13.28   0  80    8   3 (112- 10-  0) Don Bosco             -18.66 *  -61.34                      
      Averages              31.55  10.2 39.1

Best game:   78.61 = 25 point win over Marengo Iowa Valley
Worst game: -17.53 = 65 point loss to Colfax-Mingo
Team stdev:  20.44